Friday, August 29, 2014

From Storm Expert Matt Petrulli: "Possible Hurricane? And Severe Weather Outbreak"

The GFS is saying a active tropics with aleast 3 storms impacting the USA from now till 9/13.The first storm is a Tropical Wave in the Atlantic that might devloping in the Gulf of Mexico some time and hit Mexico but might bring some rain to TX. The 2nd one is 9/13, Sometimes the GFS would devlop systems and bring them into the USA for one run then the next run it would be gone but this has been going on for the last couple of runs I am not saing it will happen but just keep an eye out. I also apologize for being inactive I have been sick. Now another thing is that a Tornado Outbreak is possible in the Midwest this Weekend. TWC's Dr. Greg Forbes has put a 4/10 on the Torcon this far out for Omaha. Me and my Partner MatthewBerfield are very nervous of what's going to happen. Also the Euro and the GFS the most trusted Models are both saying a Tropical System devloping and making landfall close the Texas in Mexico. I say people in Mexico and Texas should keep an eye out.

Slight Risk issued by SPC for Sunday!

Yesterday, TWNS reported that there would be a possible severe weather outbreak for Sunday across the Midwest. SPC has already given out a SLIGHT risk for much of the Midwest, obviously.
The Slight Risk runs from Wichita, KS all the way up to the Canadian Border, encompassing all of or a portion of 6 states. 
According to SPC, the main threats should be damaging winds and large hail.
TWNS will be hosting a meeting tonight at 7 pm eastern/4 pm pacific at our HQ.
TWNS will be active all day on Sunday with Live Wall Coverage as well as bringing back former Storm Expert Matt Petrulli to help out with our storm coverage. Stay tuned to TWNS, we'll keep you informed, ahead of the storm.

Thursday, August 28, 2014

Possible Severe Weather/Tornado Outbreak for the Midwest on Sunday!

SPC has issued an alert for a possible Severe Weather Outbreak for Sunday today. GFS models however are showing that the severe weather may not even start until Monday for portions of the Midwest, but SPC has already given a risk area for Sunday.
The risk area for Sunday, issued by SPC, depicts severe weather extending from Kansas all the way up to Wisconsin!
It is however too early to tell which has the highest chance for potential (winds, hail, tornadoes) but we'll have to wait and see tomorrow and on Saturday for that information.
TWNS will be active on Sunday tracking the severe weather for you. And we'll have a Weather Briefing tomorrow evening at 7 eastern/4 pacific at our HQ about this, which you can find here-http://www.roblox.com/TWNS-OFFICIAL-HQ-place?id=169393847 And as part of our extensive coverage, our former Severe WX Expert, Matt Petrulli has returned to cover this extensive and potentially major summer severe weather outbreak. Stay Tuned to TWNS, we'll keep YOU informed, AHEAD of the storm.
 

Sunday, August 24, 2014

TS Cristobal Slowly Intensifies As It Nears Bahamas

Tropical Depression Four has now been named Tropical Storm Cristobal by the NHC. This tropical storm is in the Atlantic right now, pressure at 1001 mb, and winds of 45 miles per hour in this TS. Cristobal is slowly but surely strengthening as it gets closer to warmer water.(picture below provided by Weather Underground)

Tropical Storm Warnings were posted for TS Cristobal. This storm is intensifying, but poses no threat to the United States. The tracks are showing that this storm will be moving back out to sea before it can make landfall in the U.S. Models from Weather Underground are showing that the storm by 8 A.M. on Wednesday, this storm will transform into a Category 1 hurricane with wind speeds of 74 to 95 miles per hour.
I'm Meteorologist Bryan Schumacher, stay tuned to TWNS, we'll keep YOU informed, AHEAD of this tropical storm!

Saturday, August 23, 2014

All Eyes on Invest 96L

TWNS mets. have been tracking Invest 96L, a Tropical Disturbance over the Islands of Cuba and others, southeast of the US. At this current time it is Southeast of the United States and has a 80% Chance of developing in the next 48 hours; and a 90% Chance of developing in the next 5 days.
 Here is a look at the NHC "Spaghetti" models. Courtesy of Weather Underground. (notice how 2 of the model tracks show this thing to move NW toward the US mainland. While other models have it moving away from the US)
My prediction, according to the GFS radar models, is that this storm will move NW, THEN move NE away from the US. But it will clip eastern Florida. However, there are two scenarios. Here's one: This scenario has it hitting the US Mainland


Here's the other one: This scenario has hit moving NW, then moving NE as it catches a trough.
 TWNS will be here to keep you informed, ahead of the storm before, during, and after Invest 96L.
                                                   

Monday, August 4, 2014

New Tropical Threat.......part 3.

                              Here is the GFS Models for Thursday, 6 PM UTC Time.
                Here is a look at Iselle as of 10 PM CDT, Monday. Very distinctive eye.

New Tropical Threat.....part 2.

Here is a look at the GFS Models as of 6 PM UTC Time on Tuesday.
Map for Wednesday, 6 PM UTC Time, Notice if you will, how the colors for Julio get brighter and the colors for Iselle get dimmer. A strong indication that Julio will strengthen and Iselle should weaken.
 

New Tropical Threat Brewing in the Eastern Pacific! Hawaii Under the Gun!

Two new tropical systems formed in the eastern pacific. One which is a hurricane: Iselle, and the other, which is a Tropical Storm: Julio. Both expected to move into Hawaii within the next few days. At this current moment, no TS Warnings or watches nor Hurricane Watches or warnings have been issued for the Hawaii Coast. However in the next few days, we should expect to see warnings and watches issued. TS Julio is expected to become a hurricane as early as Tomorrow at 5 PM local time.
Hawaii should be on the lookout, especially on Friday as Julio makes its move into the Eastern Coast of Hawaii.

Hurricane Iselle should be affecting Hawaii by Thursday at around 5 PM Local Time. But by that time it'll have died down to a Tropical Depression. Hawaii should be on alert for Thursday-Saturday for Iselle.

Saturday, August 2, 2014

#Sharknado2 And Matt Berfield's Thoughts about the movie!

As many of you know, Sharknado made a sequel to the movie. I didn't get to see it unfortunately due to my cable being shut off. But I can tell you right now, the whole concept is pure stupidity. I mean seriously? Sharks killing people and sharks being killed by tornadoes. Yes, you heard me, tornadoes! The only few things I like about this movie and it's sequel is all the celebrity cameo appearances: Matt Lauer and Al Roker (one of my favorite weathermen) from NBC appeared in the Sequel. Judd Hirsch (from Taxi and Independence Day) and Vivica A Fox (who was also in Independence Day, starring as Will Smith's Girlfriend and future husband in ID) was also in this movie. The Weather Channel's Stephanie Abrahams was in the movie. As well as Robbie Rist, yes that Robbie Rist (Cousin Oliver from The Brady Bunch) appeared in the first movie. Other than these celebrity cameos I honestly hate the movie, and I personally believe it is truly disrespectful to Weather Activists, weather geeks, storm chasers, and tornado lovers. Want a good disaster film? Try watching Into the Storm on August 8th. I guarantee you'll get your money's worth.

BERTHA EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY WEDNESDAY!!

As of 6 PM CDT, Saturday, August 2nd, Tropical Storm Bertha was located over Boca de Yuma in the Dominican Republic; with winds in excess of around 45 MPH; still moving WNW at 22 MPH. According to the NHC and the GFS Models, Bertha should remain off the coasts of the US, however choppy coastal waters across North Carolina, South Carolina and Virginia can not be ruled out. NHC is predicting that Bertha should become a hurricane by Wednesday at 2 PM.

The "h" I highlighted represents the word Hurricane, and according to NHC it should become a hurricane as I stated before by around 2 PM Wednesday. But it will be in the Atlantic Ocean by that time and Should NOT pose a threat to the US. However any boaters or fishermen in this area need to be alert of this hurricane.