SPC Issues Slight Risk for the Southeast; CPC predicting warmer than usual conditions for much of the US

Yesterday, SPC issued a slight risk for the Southeastern US. This slight risk stretches from Arkansas to Southern Kentucky.

Main Threats are Large Hail, Damaging Winds and a tornado or two.

The Models have been really wishy washy when predicting what will occur on Monday. BAMS is showing storms developing early in the day on Monday across Tennessee, however NAM is showing that a squall line might occur in Kentucky early in the day on Monday.

These First two model runs were from last night, so they are premature.

NAM is not agreeing to the BAMS forecast however.

TWNS will be here to keep you updated.

Now on to CPC's Forecast for the next 3 months. CPC-Climate Prediction Center is predicting warmer than average conditions across much of the US, except for a small portion of New Mexico.

Several weeks ago, they were predicting cooler conditions for much of the Extreme Southern US.

Their precip. forecast has changed since the last time we posted about it on the blog.

What does this mean? Quoting from Peter: "Warmer temperatures, and more rain/mixing events than last year certainly possible."